UNF Poll Shows Republicans Up Double Digits in Early 2026 Florida Races

Overview

• In gubernatorial hypotheticals, Casey DeSantis leads David Jolly 47%–34%, and Byron Donalds leads Jolly 45%–34% and Jerry Demings 45%–33%.
• In other statewide contests, Ashley Moody leads Jennifer Jenkins 49%–38% for U.S. Senate, and James Uthmeier tops José Javier Rodríguez 45%–36% for attorney general.
• The University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab surveyed 728 likely voters by phone from Oct. 15–25, reporting a margin of error of ±4.25 percentage points.
• Analysts highlight sizable undecided shares and note that potential Republican entrants Jay Collins and Paul Renner were not included in the matchups.
• Byron Donalds holds President Donald Trump’s endorsement and has raised more than $31 million, positioning him with a significant early fundraising advantage.