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UNDP Warns Afghanistan’s Crisis Deepens as Mass Returns Push Most Families Into Hunger or Debt

A UNDP survey of over 48,000 households finds soaring debts, skipped care, a worsening shelter crunch as expulsions from Pakistan and Iran accelerate.

Overview

  • Roughly 4.5 million Afghans have returned since 2023, including about 1.5 million forced back this year from Pakistan and Iran.
  • More than 90% of returnee households report debt of $373–$900 against average monthly incomes near $100, and over half skip medical treatment to afford food.
  • Rents have tripled in high-return areas, over half of families lack adequate space or bedding, and 18% report being displaced again within the past year.
  • In districts such as Injil and Guzara, most returnees live in tents or degraded structures, underscoring the scale of the shelter shortfall.
  • UN agencies say donor funding has fallen short of the $3.1bn appeal, women’s labor force participation has collapsed to about 6%, and UNDP urges area-based recovery linking livelihoods, services, housing and social cohesion.