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UNAIDS Warns Donor Pullback Risks 3.9 Million More HIV Infections by 2030

UNAIDS links steep drops in prevention services to early‑2025 funding disruptions that stalled testing, medicines, staffing operations.

Overview

  • The new report released ahead of World AIDS Day projects about 3.9 million additional infections by 2030 if reduced international aid continues.
  • The United States, previously supplying roughly three quarters of global HIV funding, temporarily froze all HIV-related payments in early 2025 before restoring some support.
  • UNAIDS estimates for 2024 include about 1.3 million new infections, roughly 630,000 AIDS-related deaths, and 40.8 million people living with HIV, with over three quarters on treatment.
  • Access to prevention has fallen sharply in several countries, with Uganda down 31% and Burundi down 64% for preventive medication and condom distribution in Nigeria dropping by more than half.
  • More than two dozen countries have increased domestic budgets for HIV programs as UNAIDS chief Winnie Byanyima warns that cuts have devastating consequences and that restrictions on key populations heighten risks.