Overview
- UNEP’s Emissions Gap Report projects about 2.3–2.5°C of warming if national pledges are fully implemented, and roughly 2.8°C under current policies.
- The report finds global greenhouse‑gas emissions rose 2.3% in 2024, with notable increases from India, China, Russia and Indonesia.
- Keeping 1.5°C within reach would require cutting emissions about 55% by 2035 versus 2019, while current plans would deliver only around 15%.
- EU environment ministers debated a 2040 goal of 90% cuts from 1990 levels alongside proposals allowing 3–5% of reductions via international carbon credits and adding review clauses.
- The EU sought a final 2035 submission before COP30, but by Tuesday evening still wrestled with moving from a 66.25–72.5% range to a concrete target.