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UN Security Council Split Leaves MINURSO Mandate in Limbo

That split raises the prospect of Polisario withdrawal, risking renewed instability in Western Sahara.

Overview

  • The Security Council deadlocked after Russia vetoed a U.S. resolution on Friday and a Russian-drafted one-year extension later failed to win the nine votes needed, leaving the UN peacekeeping mission MINURSO without a clear mandate.
  • The U.S. draft would have endorsed Morocco’s autonomy plan as the negotiation basis, removed references to a self-determination referendum, renamed and reshaped MINURSO into a new political mission, and set a timeline for reorganizing the operation.
  • The Frente Polisario warned in a 22 October letter that adopting the U.S. text would be an “extremely dangerous and unprecedented” shift and said it would withdraw from the peace process if the draft were approved without major changes.
  • The rival Russian resolution to extend MINURSO received 3 votes in favor, 1 against and 11 abstentions, so it did not pass and the mission’s current mandate is set to expire unless the council quickly agrees a new measure.
  • MINURSO was created in 1991 to monitor a ceasefire and prepare a referendum on Western Sahara’s future, and the council’s split reflects a broader great-power divide over whether to preserve the referendum option or formalize Moroccan sovereignty, with clear risks for Sahrawi self-determination and regional stability.