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UN Methane Report at COP30 Finds World Off Track for 2030 Pledge

Ministers urge mandatory rules to convert low-cost energy fixes into real cuts.

Overview

  • The new UNEP/CCAC assessment finds methane emissions are still increasing, with current legislation pointing to about a 5% rise by 2030 and 21% by 2050 versus 2020.
  • Full delivery of countries’ stated plans would cut 2030 methane roughly 8% below 2020 levels, far short of the Global Methane Pledge’s 30% goal.
  • Ministers in Belém called for mandatory rules, tighter measurement and faster deployment across energy, agriculture and waste to close the implementation gap.
  • The report identifies the energy sector as holding about 72% of cost-effective mitigation potential through steps such as leak detection, repair and curbing venting and flaring.
  • Independent trackers foresee roughly flat emissions this decade absent stronger action, while meeting the pledge could avoid about 0.2°C of warming by 2050.