UN Forecasts Global Economic Slowdown in 2024 Amid Challenges
High interest rates, escalating conflicts, and climate disasters contribute to a somber economic outlook, with significant slowdowns expected in the U.S. and China.
- The United Nations forecasts global economic growth to slow to 2.4% in 2024, down from an estimated 2.7% in 2023, citing challenges from escalating conflicts, sluggish global trade, high interest rates, and increasing climate disasters.
- The U.S. economy, which performed well in 2023, is expected to see growth decline from an estimated 2.5% in 2023 to 1.4% in 2024 amid falling household savings, high interest rates, and a gradually softening labor market.
- China's recovery from COVID lockdowns has been slower than expected, with growth expected to moderate to 4.7% in 2024, down from 5.3% in the second half of 2023.
- In Europe, GDP is forecast to expand from 0.5% in 2023 to 1.2% in 2024, driven by a pick-up in consumer spending as price pressures ease, real wages rise, and labor markets remain robust.
- In South Asia, GDP rose by an estimated 5.3% last year and is projected to increase by 5.2% in 2024, driven by a robust expansion in India, which remains the fastest growing large economy in the world.