Particle.news
Download on the App Store

UN Flags 2.8°C Trajectory as EU Races to Lock 2035–2040 Climate Goals Before COP30

The Emissions Gap Report projects roughly 2.3 to 2.5 degrees of warming even if national pledges are fully delivered.

Overview

  • UNEP’s new analysis warns the 1.5°C threshold is likely to be crossed within the next decade and identifies 2024 as the hottest year on record with global emissions rising.
  • Only about one third of countries have submitted updated 2035 climate plans, heightening pressure on negotiators ahead of the Belém summit opening on November 10.
  • EU environment ministers are negotiating a 90% emissions cut by 2040 versus 1990 and must convert a 2035 reduction corridor of 66.25% to 72.5% into a formal commitment.
  • Key disputes include how much use of foreign carbon credits to allow—3% in the Commission proposal with some states demanding more—and whether to add review clauses, with a qualified majority needed for 2040 and unanimity for 2035.
  • Ahead of COP30, a coalition of 33 cities launched the Cool Cities Accelerator to expand heat early‑warning systems, access to cooling, greener design standards, and resilient infrastructure.