UN Chief: 1.5°C Threshold Will Be Exceeded, Urges New NDCs and $1.3 Trillion Climate Finance Before COP30

Overview

• Guterres told the WMO in Geneva that overshooting 1.5°C in the coming years is inevitable and pressed governments to file bolder national climate plans ahead of COP30 in Belém on November 10–21.
• He called for a credible package to mobilize $1.3 trillion per year in climate finance for developing countries by 2035.
• A UN assessment estimates only about a 14% probability of limiting warming to 1.5°C even under optimistic pathways.
• Copernicus monitoring indicates the planet is already about 1.4°C warmer than pre‑industrial levels, and recent studies warn that ice‑sheet stability may be at risk even at 1.5°C.
• By early October, 62 countries had officially submitted updated NDCs and 101 had pledged to do so by COP30, while the WMO targets universal early‑warning systems by 2027 to strengthen adaptation.