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7h ago

UMBC Poll: Moore Holds 20-Point Edge Over Generic GOP Foe in 2026 Test

The same release shows voters prefer Democratic control of Congress.

Maryland Gov. Wes Moore speaks during a photo op and press conference at Anne Arundel County Food Bank with elected officials, announcing an executive action in support of Marylanders impacted by the federal government shutdown and suspension of Nov. S.N.A.P., or Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program benefits. (Karl Merton Ferron/Staff)
The Retrievers Activities Center is seen on the campus of University of Maryland, Baltimore County (UMBC). The center houses student fitness gyms, intramural sports and the UMBC Men’s and Women’s Swimming and Diving programs. (Jerry Jackson/Staff)
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Overview

  • UMBC’s survey of 757 registered voters, conducted Oct. 21–25 with a ±3.5% margin of error, puts Moore at 49% to 29% against an unnamed Republican, with 12% opting for another candidate and 10% undecided.
  • Moore’s job approval remains 52% with 44% disapproving, reflecting stability since February as disapproval has risen from 2024 levels.
  • Economic views are bleak, with 69% rating state conditions as poor or fair and 48% saying Maryland is on the wrong track.
  • The poll reports widespread concern over the federal shutdown’s impact on the state economy, with responsibility largely assigned to congressional Republicans (61%) and President Donald Trump (59%).
  • Democrats are favored 58% to 32% for control of Congress, and voters trust Democrats more on most issues except a one-point GOP edge on crime and public safety.