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UMass Amherst Study Projects High Odds of Spotting an Exploding Primordial Black Hole Within a Decade

The peer-reviewed paper models a dark electric force that could delay evaporation, raising expected burst rates to observable levels.

Overview

  • The Physical Review Letters study estimates a greater than 90% chance of a detectable primordial black hole burst in the next ten years under its dark‑QED assumptions.
  • The model posits a heavy “dark electron” and a small dark charge that can temporarily stabilize these black holes before their final outburst.
  • Researchers say current space- and ground-based telescopes could detect the Hawking-radiation gamma rays if observers coordinate targeted searches.
  • A confirmed detection would be the first direct evidence of Hawking radiation and could yield a definitive inventory of particles in nature.
  • The work revises prior expectations from roughly one observable burst per 100,000 years to about one per decade, while noting no explosion has yet been seen.