Overview

• Kyiv School of Economics president Timofey Milovanov gave a pessimistic forecast that Ukraine’s population could fall to 10–15 million, while his optimistic scenario envisages 35–40 million.
• Milovanov said the country may need to attract roughly 10 million labor migrants, largely for blue‑collar roles, to keep the economy functioning.
• UNFPA previously reported about 10 million people left Ukraine since 2022, and the UN’s Geneva office estimated an 8 million population decline by autumn 2024.
• The Razumkov Centre estimated the working‑age population was down 40% in summer 2024 versus 2021, with widespread staffing gaps across industries.
• Businesses have already begun hiring workers from countries such as Bangladesh and Pakistan, and planning is complicated by the lack of a national census since 2001 when Ukraine counted 48.457 million people.