Overview

• Operation Spider Web saw Ukrainian drones penetrate deep into Russian territory to obliterate at least 40 strategic and nuclear-capable bombers
• The strike occurred on the eve of scheduled peace talks in Istanbul, undermining fragile diplomatic efforts and prompting Russia to refuse a ceasefire
• Moscow’s updated nuclear doctrine permits a retaliatory nuclear response to conventional strikes that threaten its strategic deterrent, raising the risk of escalation
• In retaliation, Russia has unleashed mass missile and drone barrages against civilian areas and critical infrastructure in Ukraine, causing significant casualties and widespread damage
• Western allies are under pressure to sustain support for Ukraine while demanding restraint and a swift return to diplomacy to prevent further catastrophe