Overview
- Reports on Tuesday say Ukrainian long‑range drones struck the Gazprom Neftekhim Salavat refinery in Bashkortostan and caused large fires, a target more than 1,400 kilometres from the front.
- Kyiv’s General Staff has issued fresh daily tallies of heavy Russian personnel and equipment losses, but those figures come from Ukrainian military sources and are not fully independently verified.
- Analysts and the ISW describe a coordinated campaign that has hit oil plants, tank farms, ports and ships to sever supplies to the occupied Crimea and degrade Russian frontline logistics.
- Energy studies cite a sharp drop in Russian refining output, producing fuel shortages at filling stations and cuts to exports that are creating visible strains for civilians and industry inside Russia.
- Moscow continues to fire ballistic missiles at Kyiv and carry out sustained air and drone strikes, and experts warn the growing internal pressure on the Kremlin could harden policies and raise escalation risks.