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Ukraine War Has Emitted 237 Million Tonnes CO2e, New Tally Finds

Researchers warn the conflict now intensifies climate pressures in a self-reinforcing cycle.

Overview

  • About one third of the war’s greenhouse-gas output comes directly from fuel burned by tanks and jets.
  • War-driven forest and bush fires surged in 2024, with burned area exceeding the 2006–2021 average by more than twentyfold as firefighting near frontlines was often impossible.
  • Reconstruction accounts for roughly 27% of the total, signaling continued emissions as rebuilding proceeds.
  • Shelling of oil depots, refineries and other energy infrastructure released an estimated 17 million tonnes CO2e over three years.
  • Rerouted EuropeAsia flights that avoid Ukrainian and Siberian airspace added about 20 million tonnes CO2e compared with pre-invasion routes.