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Ukraine Says Technical Talks Likely but Peace Unlikely Before Winter

Kyiv is preparing for sustained winter fighting and sees upcoming negotiations as preparatory rather than a path to an immediate ceasefire.

Overview

  • Kyrylo Budanov said on Friday that technical talks are likely soon and that they will focus on preparations rather than immediate, substantive agreements.
  • He warned it is unrealistic to expect the war to end now and said Russia does not currently want to stop fighting.
  • Both sides have increased strikes on logistics, ports and energy facilities, and Ukrainian officials expect Russia to step up attacks on the power grid as winter approaches.
  • U.S.-backed trilateral talks have yielded no tangible results so far and the last formal round between Ukraine, the United States and Russia took place in February.
  • Market pricing has reduced the probability of a ceasefire by year-end and Kyiv is prioritizing civilian protection, energy resilience and supply lines to prepare for prolonged winter combat.