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Ukraine Details Drone Strike on Il‑38N Claimed to Enable Novorossiysk Sub Attack

Kyiv released footage detailing an airburst strike it says cleared the way for underwater drones, with the claim unverified by independent outlets, denied by Moscow.

Overview

  • The SBU says a drone with an airburst warhead released about 2,000 downward fragments over a parked Il‑38N at Yeysk, striking its sensor bay and damaging an engine.
  • Ukrainian officials describe the aircraft’s neutralization as the key step that let Sub Sea Baby drones target a Project 636.3 submarine in Novorossiysk on December 15.
  • Russia’s Black Sea Fleet says no vessels were damaged at the base, and media reviewing the SBU video and imagery report they cannot independently verify the timing or location.
  • The SBU says this Il‑38N was the only platform in the region able to detect the underwater drone and values the aircraft at about $24 million.
  • Kyiv says the targeted Kilo-class boat carries Kalibr missiles and would cost roughly $400–$500 million to replace, situating the operation within its ongoing campaign to degrade Black Sea Fleet assets.