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UK White Christmas Looks Unlikely as High Pressure Builds into Christmas Week

Forecasters say clearer answers are expected about five days before December 25.

Overview

  • Latest outlooks from the Met Office and BBC indicate a shift to calmer, drier weather under high pressure, reducing the chance of widespread Christmas Day snow.
  • Any wintry showers are most likely over higher ground in northern Scotland, with temperatures near or slightly above average for many other areas.
  • An official white Christmas is logged if at least one snowflake is observed at any Met Office station during the 24 hours of December 25.
  • Forecast confidence for Christmas Day typically improves only within about five days of the date, so detailed assessments are still pending.
  • The last widespread white Christmas was in 2010, and a warming climate that brings milder, wetter winters generally lowers the odds, especially in southern England.