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UK Wage Growth Accelerates While Unemployment Edges Higher

A rise in pay growth and jobless rates complicates economic policy decisions as businesses face tax increases and a cooling labor market.

  • The Office for National Statistics reports a 5.6% annual increase in average weekly earnings for the three months to November, up from 5.2% in the previous period.
  • The UK unemployment rate rose to 4.4% during the same period, reflecting a slight softening in the labor market.
  • Payrolled employment dropped by 47,000 in December, the largest decline since the pandemic, with job vacancies falling for the 30th consecutive month.
  • Economists suggest that recent wage growth may be temporary, as businesses face higher costs from tax measures and reduced hiring intentions.
  • The Bank of England is weighing interest rate cuts, with a decision expected on February 6, but robust pay growth could sustain inflationary pressures.
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