Overview

• A new Henry Jackson Society assessment says the Islamic Republic is approaching collapse, framing the danger as a potential tipping point for internal conflict.
• The report cautions that a fall of the Khamenei-led system could create a governance vacuum that spirals into civil war.
• United Nations officials accuse Tehran of nearly 900 executions this year used as intimidation, underscoring severe repression cited in the analysis.
• The study notes June strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities by Israel with U.S. support set back capabilities but did not remove broader strategic threats.
• Researchers say the regime seeks to reconstitute its nuclear program and export terrorism, recommending support for the opposition and a clear day-after plan.