Overview
- The BRC-NIQ survey shows overall shop prices rose 1.4% year on year in September, up from 0.9% in August.
- Food inflation held at 4.2% while non-food prices were down just 0.1%, with DIY and gardening costs rising and some back-to-school items discounted.
- The BRC says higher employers’ national insurance, wage increases and a new packaging levy are pushing up costs, estimating a roughly £7bn hit to retailers this year.
- The BRC is urging Chancellor Rachel Reeves to avoid fresh tax or levy increases in the Budget, warning they would keep shop prices elevated.
- The Bank of England expects headline CPI to be about 4% for September, a backdrop that could weigh on the pace of interest-rate cuts as shoppers grow more price-sensitive.