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UK Set for Soaking Now as Forecasts Signal a Colder, Wintrier Turn Later in November

Forecast confidence is for colder conditions later this month, not for widespread lowland snow shown on some model maps.

Overview

  • Yellow rain warnings were issued on Tuesday for parts of southwest Scotland, southern Wales, southwest England and Northern Ireland, with the Met Office warning of possible flooding on saturated ground.
  • Higher ground in Scotland could see some snow from midweek as colder air filters south, while most of England, Wales and Northern Ireland stay wet rather than wintry in the short term.
  • WXCharts visualisations using MetDesk data show possible significant snowfall around 20–23 November, including projected depths near 18–20cm in parts of the Scottish Highlands, but these are model scenarios rather than a firm forecast.
  • The Met Office long‑range outlook points to a likely drop to below‑average temperatures beyond mid‑November with hill snow possible in the north and substantial uncertainty over timing and local detail.
  • Forecasts diverge on where snow may reach later next week, with one US model suggesting Welsh upland snow that other models keep as rain, and local reports indicating southern lowland areas such as Oxfordshire are likely to miss the wintry conditions.