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UK Set for Calmer, Warmer Spell With Possible Late‑October Cold Snap

The national outlook favors a dry, high‑pressure pattern with near‑average temperatures as talk of a late‑October chill stays low confidence.

Overview

  • The Met Office reports a significant shift this week as high pressure builds, bringing drier, calmer conditions with temperatures widely in the mid to high teens.
  • Independent forecasters highlight the chance of a brief ‘Indian Summer’ next week, with localized highs around 21°C in southern areas such as Wiltshire, Taunton, Bristol and Gloucester shown on Ventusky maps.
  • The Met Office notes that ‘Indian Summer’ is a colloquial description of a warm, calm autumn spell rather than an official classification.
  • Long‑range charts from WX Charts using Met Desk data point to a possible Arctic intrusion around October 21 with near‑freezing nights and a risk of hill snow, though confidence at that range is limited.
  • This transition follows Storm Amy’s weekend impacts, including gusts up to 96 mph on Tiree, widespread disruption and a reported fatality in Upper Cumberworth.