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UK Pay Deals Hit Lowest Since 2021 as Hiring Cools

Easing wage pressures could reassure the Bank of England on the inflation outlook.

People walk and relax in the sunshine in the City of London financial district in London, Britain, March 4, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville/File Photo

Overview

  • Incomes Data Research reported a median pay settlement of 3.0% in the three months to July, the lowest since December 2021.
  • Only 9% of employers granted pay rises of 4% or more in July compared with 39% in June, though IDR noted July sees relatively few awards.
  • Recruiters said starting salaries for permanent roles rose by the smallest amount in four-and-a-half years as hiring slowed again and candidate availability jumped to the highest since November 2020.
  • The BoE’s Decision Maker Panel showed firms raised wages by an annual 4.7% in the three months to July and expect 3.6% over the year ahead, underscoring differences across pay measures.
  • Businesses voiced concern about potential new costs in Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ November 26 budget after last October’s £25 billion rise in employer social security contributions.