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UK Labour Data May Underestimate Employment by Nearly 1 Million

Resolution Foundation's analysis suggests official statistics misrepresent the post-pandemic job market.

  • The Resolution Foundation reports that the UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) may have undercounted employment figures by up to 930,000 since the pandemic.
  • This discrepancy is attributed to a significant drop in response rates to the Labour Force Survey, which fell from 39% in 2019 to 13% last year.
  • The think tank's findings indicate that the employment rate might have reached pre-pandemic levels, contrary to official data suggesting a lower rate.
  • Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey expressed concerns over the reliability of current labour market data, which impacts interest rate decisions.
  • The ONS acknowledges the potential inaccuracies and is working to improve survey methods and data quality with external expert collaboration.
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