Overview
- Regular pay growth slowed to 4.8% in the three months to July, from 5% previously, according to the ONS.
- The jobless rate held at 4.7% as vacancies fell by 10,000 to 728,000 in June–August, extending a long slide in openings.
- HMRC data show payrolled employees dropped by 8,000 in August and by 127,000 over the year, with early estimates subject to revision.
- Average earnings including bonuses rose 4.8%, pointing to a sizeable increase in the state pension under the triple lock.
- With wage growth still elevated even as hiring cools, markets expect the Bank of England to keep rates at 4% this week.