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UK Job Market Contracts Sharply as Employer Costs Surge

New hiring slows to its weakest pace since 2020, with businesses citing tax hikes and economic uncertainty as key factors.

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A woman holding an umbrella walks at Greenwich Park in view of the Canary Wharf skyline, in London, Britain, October 28, 2024. REUTERS/Hollie Adams/File Photo

Overview

  • Permanent job vacancies in the UK have declined for the 15th consecutive month, reaching levels last seen during the pandemic in 2020.
  • A £25 billion increase in employers' National Insurance contributions, set to take effect in April, is cited as a major factor behind reduced hiring activity.
  • The Bank of England has halved its 2025 economic growth forecast to 0.75% and expects unemployment to rise to 4.75% by the end of the year.
  • Business confidence remains low, with companies adopting a 'wait and see' approach to hiring and scaling back investments due to tax burdens and economic uncertainty.
  • Pay growth for permanent staff has slowed, with salaries increasing at their softest rate since March 2021, reflecting weaker labor market conditions.