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UK Intelligence Puts Russian War Casualties at 1.12 Million as October Losses Climb

The assessment cites roughly 332,000 killed or wounded in 2025, with daily losses topping 1,000 in early October.

Overview

  • UK Defence Intelligence estimates total Russian killed and wounded at about 1,118,000 since February 2022, including roughly 332,000 this year.
  • Ukraine’s General Staff reports a slightly higher cumulative figure of approximately 1,125,150 through 14 October.
  • Analysts say Russia’s average daily losses were about 950 personnel in September, a modest uptick from August after several months of decline.
  • Reported losses increased further in October, exceeding 1,000 per day between 5 and 12 October.
  • UK assessors note casualty trends have shifted even as Russian forces sustain a high operational tempo and continue incremental territorial gains.