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UK IMF Bailout Talk Intensifies as Treasury Rejects Warnings

Attention now turns to the autumn budget as the test of the government's fiscal credibility.

Overview

  • Professor Jagjit Chadha warned the UK’s position resembles the run‑up to the 1976 IMF loan, saying a rescue is now "on the cards" though not certain.
  • HM Treasury called bailout speculation unfounded, while The Times’ economics editor argued there is no serious prospect of an IMF intervention.
  • Market stress points cited include roughly 5.5% yields on 30‑year gilts, debt near 100% of GDP, and an annual debt‑interest bill reported at over £100 billion.
  • Commentary highlights the autumn budget as the next key moment for signaling fiscal discipline to investors after previous policy reversals.
  • France added to the regional backdrop when Economy Minister Eric Lombard said a risk exists of IMF involvement there, underscoring wider European fiscal concerns.