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UK Housing Activity Falls for Third Month as Budget Jitters Deepen Caution

Surveyors highlight uncertainty over November’s tax plans as the key brake on buyer demand.

Overview

  • RICS reports a net -19% for new buyer inquiries and -16% for agreed sales in September, marking a third consecutive month of decline.
  • The headline price balance improved to -15, with sharper falls in the South East and East Anglia while Scotland and Northern Ireland post modest gains; Zoopla notes first-time buyer prices up 2.4% year on year to £229,000.
  • New seller instructions fell for a second month on a net -15% reading, pointing to a cooling flow of homes coming to market.
  • Landlord listings dropped to their lowest since May 2020 as tenant demand held steady, leaving rents projected to rise about 3% over the next year.
  • Business confidence hit a three-year low in ICAEW’s survey, and reports suggest the Nov. 26 budget may consider housing-related tax measures, reinforcing a wait-and-see mood.