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UK House Prices Slip 0.4% in December as Annual Growth Eases to 0.6%

Nationwide sees a modest 2%–4% rise in 2026 on improving affordability after a tax-driven volatile year.

Overview

  • Nationwide’s index showed a 0.4% monthly decline in December versus forecasts for a 0.1% rise, leaving the average price at £271,068 and year-on-year growth at the weakest since April 2024.
  • The lender attributes 2025’s volatility to stamp duty and other property tax changes that pulled deals into March and left activity softer through spring and summer.
  • Mortgage approvals held near pre‑Covid levels despite subdued sentiment and mortgage rates still far above their pandemic lows.
  • First‑time buyers took an above‑average share of purchases, with loans requiring deposits of 15% or less at their highest proportion in a decade.
  • Regional divergence remained pronounced, with prices up 9.7% in Northern Ireland, up 3.5% in the North West, and down 0.8% in East Anglia, while the BoE’s December rate cut to 3.75% and expected further easing are seen supporting activity this year.