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UK Hiring Slides Again in December as Pay Pressures Persist

The latest recruiter readings sharpen the Bank of England’s rate‑cut dilemma.

Overview

  • REC/KPMG data show permanent staff placements fell for a 39th straight month in December, the sharpest drop in four months, with temporary billings also declining.
  • Starting salaries for permanent roles rose at the fastest pace since May, though pay growth remained below its long‑run average.
  • Recruiters reported a sharp increase in candidate availability, reflecting more redundancies and fewer vacancies across key sectors.
  • BDO’s optimism index fell to its weakest level since January 2021 as firms pointed to higher employment costs and regulatory changes as reasons to pause hiring.
  • Policymakers face mixed signals after the Bank of England’s December cut to 3.75%, with markets expecting one or two further reductions in 2026 as labour demand weakens but wage pressures linger.