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UK Heatwave Subsides as Models Clash on Late-August Outlook

Short-term forecasts call for settled weather with mid-20s highs, contrasted by long-range projections ranging from a hot Bank Holiday to a potential late-August Atlantic deluge.

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Overview

  • The Met Office says the recent heatwave has largely finished and predicts dry, settled conditions with daytime highs mostly in the mid-20s.
  • High-resolution maps from private providers WXCharts and Ventusky forecast both a hot August Bank Holiday with temperatures up to 29°C and a separate late-month Atlantic rain system tied to the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin that could dump heavy accumulations on uplands.
  • Met Office long-range guidance warns of significant uncertainty, noting high pressure may give way to Atlantic systems that could bring cooler, wetter weather by the final week of August.
  • England remains under a nationally significant water shortage with five areas officially in drought and ongoing water-use restrictions.
  • Yellow heat-health alerts issued by the UK Health Security Agency remain active across multiple regions to protect vulnerable groups despite the recent temperature drop.