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UK Government Faces Mounting Pressure as Bond Yields Hit 27-Year High

Chancellor Rachel Reeves confronts rising borrowing costs, stagnant growth, and fiscal constraints, raising concerns over potential tax hikes or spending cuts.

  • UK government bond yields have surged to their highest levels since 1998, with 30-year gilts reaching 5.37% and 10-year gilts at their highest since 2008.
  • The sharp rise in borrowing costs threatens to erode Chancellor Reeves's fiscal headroom, potentially forcing tax increases or spending reductions to adhere to fiscal rules.
  • Economists attribute the rise in yields to a combination of stagnant economic growth, persistent inflation, and increased global borrowing competition, particularly following Donald Trump's policy announcements in the US.
  • The Labour government's ambitious spending plans, including increased defense budgets and public sector pay raises, are adding pressure to the already strained fiscal outlook.
  • The Budget Responsibility's upcoming March forecast is expected to clarify the extent of the fiscal challenges, with concerns that the UK may breach its fiscal rules without corrective action.
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