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UK GDP Expands 0.7% in Q1 But April Contraction Exposes Fragile Recovery

Household incomes fell with the saving ratio slipping to 10.9% following sector gains in services, production and construction.

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Overview

  • Official figures show GDP rose 0.7% between January and March, the strongest quarterly pace since Q1 2024.
  • Services output increased by 0.7%, production climbed 1.3% and construction edged up 0.3% over the quarter.
  • Real household disposable income per head declined by 1%, marking the first quarterly drop in nearly two years.
  • The saving ratio fell to 10.9% from 12% as consumers dipped into reserves to cover higher living costs.
  • Monthly data revealed a 0.3% contraction in April, casting doubt on the rebound’s sustainability.