Overview
- April's food inflation reached 2.6%, the highest rate since May 2024, following a 0.7% monthly rise in grocery prices after a flat March.
- Overall shop price inflation remained negative at -0.1% year-on-year, though deflation eased from -0.4% in March.
- The increase in food prices is partly attributed to a £25 billion rise in employer National Insurance contributions and a 6.7% minimum wage hike.
- The British Retail Consortium warned of additional upward price pressures, including a packaging levy set to take effect in October.
- The Bank of England forecasts inflation could climb to 3.7% later in 2025, while retailers anticipate reduced hiring due to the Employment Rights Bill.