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UK Firms Freeze Hiring as BoE Survey Shows Inflation Expectations Firming

Firmer price plans alongside flat hiring in the BoE survey may keep policymakers cautious.

Overview

  • The Bank of England’s Decision Maker Panel reports the weakest hiring intentions since 2020, with businesses expecting headcounts to stay flat over the next year.
  • Firms expect consumer price inflation of about 3.5% over the next 12 months, with the three‑month average at roughly 3.4%, both the highest since early 2024.
  • Single‑month expectations swung to a 0.5% rise after a 0.5% drop in August, highlighting volatile short‑term sentiment.
  • Companies plan to raise their own prices by 3.7% over the coming year, up from 3.5% in August, according to the survey cited by CityAM.
  • Economists say the readings reinforce a cautious stance at the MPC, with some forecasters projecting no further rate cuts this year.