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UK economy posts surprise growth in Q2 but outlook remains challenging

  • The UK economy grew 0.2% in Q2, exceeding forecasts, driven by warm weather boosting consumer sectors in June.
  • Growth was supported by manufacturing, services and household spending, but the UK economy still lags peers and is below pre-pandemic levels.
  • The Bank of England has raised interest rates to 5.25%, the highest since 2008, adding pressure on growth.
  • Economists expect ongoing challenges from high inflation, labor disputes and the impact of Brexit on trade.
  • Quarterly GDP growth is expected to remain modest near 0.2% in the near term before a potential mild recession later this year.
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