UK Economic Sentiment Dips Following Tax-Heavy Budget
Consumer confidence and business optimism decline as tax increases raise concerns over economic growth and hiring prospects.
- Consumer confidence dropped in November, with only 19% of households feeling optimistic about the next three months, down from 21% in October, according to the British Retail Consortium (BRC).
- Businesses in the services sector reported the sharpest decline in sentiment in two years, driven by rising costs and a £25 billion increase in payroll taxes set to take effect in April.
- Economists warn of potential economic contraction in late 2024, with some citing stagnation and weaker-than-expected growth following the £40 billion tax-raising budget.
- Retailers face mounting cost pressures, including a £7 billion rise in expenses from higher employer National Insurance Contributions, which may lead to price hikes or reduced investments.
- The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) reported falling hiring intentions and declining profitability, with business investment remaining low compared to international peers.