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UK Councils Headed for Insolvency as SEND Deficits and NIC Hike Bite Deeper

Government relief falls short of mounting employer NIC costs ahead of a 2026 deadline that will force councils to absorb billions in SEND deficits.

Local authorities around the country have been forced to take drastic steps to balance their budgets. Photo: NorthScape / Alamy
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Overview

  • A Public Accounts Committee report warns the statutory override keeping SEND deficits off balance sheets expires in March 2026, exposing up to £5bn in high-needs shortfalls.
  • Chancellor’s employer NIC increase has added an estimated £1.1bn in unassessed costs for councils, with compensation covering only around 40% of their extra contributions.
  • The Local Government Association says more than half of English councils could face insolvency next year and calls for immediate deficit write-offs within forthcoming SEND reform.
  • Councils are spending £121.1bn on late intervention in children’s social care versus just £2.8bn on early support, underscoring a funding imbalance that drives up long-term costs.
  • Ministers have announced over £5bn in new grant funding and broad local government reforms, but critics say the measures lack clear timelines and fail to match the scale of the crisis.