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UK Boxing Day Sales Forecast Falls to £3.6bn as Retail Parks Outperform

Cost pressures are pushing a smaller share of shoppers to concentrate budgets on bigger individual baskets.

Overview

  • Barclays projects £3.6bn spent, with only 26% planning to shop and an average budget of £253 as 69% report cost pressures and more consumers turn to AI tools for deal‑hunting.
  • MRI Software reported a mixed start by lunchtime: overall footfall down 0.3% year on year, with high streets down 2.4%, shopping centres down 2.6% and retail parks up 6.9%.
  • By mid‑afternoon, declines narrowed, with MRI indicating high street visits down 1.5% and shopping centres down 0.6% compared with last year.
  • Regional patterns diverged: central London fell 7.7% while outer London rose 3.9%, coastal towns climbed 10%, and footfall increased in Scotland (about 7%) and the East Midlands (5.2%).
  • Retailers advertised deep discounts—up to 50%–70% at chains such as Matalan, Argos, Currys and Debenhams—while some stores stayed shut or cut hours, yet queues formed at hubs including the Trafford Centre and Bicester Village.