Overview

• UFMG/GLOBO’s Bola de Cristal projects Palmeiras with a 69% chance to win the Brasileirão, followed by Flamengo at 25.1% and Cruzeiro at 5.4%.
• Palmeiras leads with 58 points from 26 matches, three ahead of Flamengo, and starts Round 28 at home against Red Bull Bragantino tonight.
• Forward Vitor Roque returns from suspension to lead the line, having ceded his spot to Bruno Rodrigues in the previous match.
• Home form is powering the surge, with an eight-game unbeaten run at Allianz Parque and 21 goals across the last six home fixtures.
• The model also flags severe relegation risk for Sport (98.6%), Juventude (86.6%) and Vitória (80.1%), while Palmeiras is already assured of a 2026 Libertadores berth.