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UCLA Study Estimates 2.8 Million Transgender People in the U.S., Warns of Looming Data Gap

The Williams Institute’s counts now guide court cases during a federal shift that jeopardizes consistent gender-identity data.

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Overview

  • The analysis estimates that 1% of people ages 13 and older identify as transgender—0.8% of adults (over 2.1 million) and 3.3% of teens 13–17 (about 724,000).
  • Young adults 18–24 report the highest rates at 2.72%, compared with 0.42% for ages 35–64 and 0.26% for those 65 and older.
  • Among the 2.1 million trans adults, the population is split roughly into thirds across trans women, trans men, and nonbinary people.
  • Rates are broadly similar across regions, with Minnesota highest for adults at 1.2% and Hawaii highest for youth at 3.6%.
  • Researchers used 2021–2023 CDC surveys and state health records and warn that survey removals under President Donald Trump could make this the last comprehensive count for years; the estimates have been cited by the U.S. Supreme Court.