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UCLA Study Estimates 2.8 Million Trans Americans as Federal Data Pipeline Faces Cutoff

Researchers warn federal removal of gender-identity questions could halt comparable national tracking for years.

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Overview

  • About 1% of people ages 13 and older identify as transgender in the U.S., including 0.8% of adults and 3.3% of teens 13–17, for an estimated 2.8 million people with roughly 724,000 youth.
  • Younger cohorts identify at higher rates, with 2.72% of 18–24-year-olds identifying as trans and roughly three-quarters of the trans population under 35, making teens about one-quarter of the total.
  • The Williams Institute derived state-by-state and national estimates using 2021–2023 CDC BRFSS and YRBSS surveys, state health records, and statistical modeling.
  • Geographic patterns are relatively consistent across regions, with Minnesota showing the highest adult share (about 1.2%) and Hawaii the highest youth share (about 3.6%).
  • Among an estimated 2.1 million trans adults, the population is roughly evenly split among trans men, trans women, and nonbinary people, as the Trump administration moves to strip gender-identity items from federal surveys and posts disclaimers on CDC pages.