Overview
- Forecasters expect the most intense phase from Saturday into early Sunday, starting over Sardinia and western Sicily before spreading to Tyrrhenian and southern regions.
- Sicily, Sardinia, Calabria, Campania, Puglia, Abruzzo and Molise are in the primary risk zone overnight, with locally persistent storms capable of rapid water rises.
- Rainfall totals could locally exceed 100 liters per square meter by early Sunday, a monthly average falling in hours.
- Northern Italy remains largely stable with sunshine and pockets of fog, though nighttime temperatures dip to around or below 5°C on the plains.
- A brief improvement is forecast early next week with high pressure returning, though meteorologists caution that new unstable pulses are likely from mid-November.