Overview

• Polling stations open Sunday and Monday for a three-way race between incumbent Eugenio Giani, centre-right challenger Alessandro Tomasi and left-wing candidate Antonella Bundu.
• Recent surveys cited in coverage place Giani well above 50% and Tomasi near 40%, suggesting a first-round win is possible but not guaranteed.
• Under Tuscan rules a candidate wins outright with at least 40% of the vote; otherwise the top two advance to an October 26 runoff.
• Giorgia Meloni, Matteo Salvini and Antonio Tajani closed Tomasi’s campaign at a Florence rally, stressing coalition unity and urging supporters that “nothing is written.”
• Analysts highlight turnout, the allowance of split-ticket voting and Bundu’s share as potential swing factors, as the centre-left navigates internal frictions and the PD deploys a blocked list for key names.