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Turkey's Inflation Expected to Exceed 70% by May

The central bank's interest rate hikes and the government's minimum wage increase contribute to the inflation surge.

  • Turkish inflation ended the year near 65%, slightly below economists' forecasts, but is expected to exceed 70% by May.
  • The government's decision to raise the minimum wage by nearly 50% could lead to faster price increases.
  • The central bank has raised interest rates by 34 percentage points since June in response to the inflation.
  • The central bank does not expect inflation to slow down until the second half of this year and predicts it will end 2024 at 36%.
  • Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, has accelerated past 70%.
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