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TSMC Posts NT$1.046 Trillion Q4 on AI Boom, Beating Forecasts

Investors now look to the Jan. 15 earnings call for 2026 guidance on growth, margins, capex.

Overview

  • Full-year 2025 revenue reached NT$3.81 trillion, up 31.6% from 2024 on robust AI infrastructure and high‑performance computing demand.
  • Goldman Sachs lifted its target to NT$2,330 and raised 2026–2027 earnings estimates by up to 15%, citing a multi‑year AI growth engine.
  • JPMorgan increased its target to NT$2,100 and projects roughly 30% revenue growth in 2026 on rising N3 demand and an N2 ramp.
  • The U.S. Commerce Department granted TSMC’s Nanjing fab an annual export license, allowing U.S.-controlled equipment shipments without individual vendor approvals.
  • Analysts expect tight capacity at advanced nodes and packaging with multi‑year capex likely to rise, as management prepares to outline 2026 spending and outlook on Jan. 15.