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Brazil Election Season Strained by Dark Horse Financing, Court Rift and Local Killings

Allegations that large transfers funded a Bolsonaro‑linked promotional film have prompted new judicial probes that expose a split at the electoral court and raise questions about campaign rules and public safety.

Overview

  • Investigators say telephone records indicate Flávio Bolsonaro negotiated transfers above R$130 million with banker Daniel Vorcaro for financing the 'Dark Horse' film, with about R$61 million reportedly disbursed.
  • STF minister André Mendonça opened an inquiry into leaks involving Fábio Luís 'Lulinha', directing investigators to target suspected public‑sector leaks rather than journalists.
  • The Tribunal Superior Eleitoral is divided over regulating AI deepfakes for campaigns after a majority opposed validating simulated avatars and President Kassio Nunes Marques removed the issue from the agenda.
  • Flávio Bolsonaro intensified outreach to business leaders in São Paulo while state Quaest polls published this week show him leading first‑round voting intention in several states, altering regional campaign dynamics.
  • Police investigations advanced on two recent killings: in Itapevi authorities say the shooting of a campaign driver was likely tied to debt collection, and in Salvador six people were charged after an organized‑supporter attack left a man dead.