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Trump’s Two-Year HUD Rental Cap Could Evict 1.4 Million Families

The analysis warns that more than a million households face eviction under a vague policy that lacks congressional approval.

Aaliyah and Aarmoni Barnes stand in the hallway near their apartment at the Stoddard Johnston Scholar House, Friday, July 11, 2025, in Louisville, Ky. (AP Photo/Jon Cherry)
Apartment buildings are seen at the Stoddard Johnston Scholar House, Friday, July 11, 2025, in Louisville, Ky. (AP Photo/Jon Cherry)
Havalah Hopkins, a single mother who lives in government-subsidized housing with her teenage son, goes to check on her son playing outside Thursday, July 10, 2025, in Woodinville, Wash. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
Aaliyah Barnes wipes her son, Aarmoni's, face with a blanket in their apartment at the Stoddard Johnston Scholar House, Friday, July 11, 2025, in Louisville, Ky. (AP Photo/Jon Cherry)

Overview

  • A New York University study obtained by the Associated Press estimates 1.4 million public housing and Section 8 tenants could lose assistance after two years.
  • HUD has exempted elderly and disabled recipients but offered no details on when clocks start, enforcement protocols or exemption criteria.
  • Local housing authorities that trialed time limits never used a two-year model and most ended pilots because of eviction surges and mounting administrative costs.
  • HUD leaders argue the cap will eliminate waste and fraud and push able-bodied recipients toward self-sufficiency.
  • Congress’s FY 2026 appropriations bill currently omits time-limit language, leaving the proposal’s fate unresolved.